**Current forecasts for Buenos Aires on June 17 indicate a daily maximum near 14–15°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 39.5% for 14°C and 36.0% for 15°C.** In Southern Hemisphere winter, the city’s humid subtropical climate features frequent passages of cold fronts and variable onshore flow from the Río de la Plata estuary that can shift the daytime peak by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show modest warming under a transient ridge, tempered by possible nocturnal cooling and light winds that limit mixing; historical June maxima average 15°C but routinely range 12–17°C depending on frontal timing. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, where even small adjustments in cloud cover or wind direction can tip the outcome between the two leading bins. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月17日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
14°C 40%
15°C 36%
13°C 10%
16°C 9%
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
40%
15°C
36%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 40%
15°C 36%
13°C 10%
16°C 9%
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
40%
15°C
36%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts for Buenos Aires on June 17 indicate a daily maximum near 14–15°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 39.5% for 14°C and 36.0% for 15°C.** In Southern Hemisphere winter, the city’s humid subtropical climate features frequent passages of cold fronts and variable onshore flow from the Río de la Plata estuary that can shift the daytime peak by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show modest warming under a transient ridge, tempered by possible nocturnal cooling and light winds that limit mixing; historical June maxima average 15°C but routinely range 12–17°C depending on frontal timing. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, where even small adjustments in cloud cover or wind direction can tip the outcome between the two leading bins. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine trader positioning ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions