Latest forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates a daytime maximum of 28–30°C for Busan on May 18 under a building high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that supports modest surface heating. This synoptic pattern favors the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes priced at 35.5% and 31.5%, respectively, because afternoon peak timing, variable sea-breeze advection from the Korea Strait, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing can shift the official reading by one degree. Coastal moderation and potential scattered cloud development introduce realistic uncertainty, while the absence of stronger warm-air advection or clear-sky insolation keeps higher probabilities low. Final resolution depends on the Korea Meteorological Administration’s automated station observation, with any late-model adjustments likely to influence the narrow spread between the two leading contracts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日釜山的最高溫度?
29°C 38%
30°C 32%
28°C 14%
31°C 10%
$18,874 交易量
$18,874 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
38%
30°C
32%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 38%
30°C 32%
28°C 14%
31°C 10%
$18,874 交易量
$18,874 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
38%
30°C
32%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates a daytime maximum of 28–30°C for Busan on May 18 under a building high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that supports modest surface heating. This synoptic pattern favors the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes priced at 35.5% and 31.5%, respectively, because afternoon peak timing, variable sea-breeze advection from the Korea Strait, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing can shift the official reading by one degree. Coastal moderation and potential scattered cloud development introduce realistic uncertainty, while the absence of stronger warm-air advection or clear-sky insolation keeps higher probabilities low. Final resolution depends on the Korea Meteorological Administration’s automated station observation, with any late-model adjustments likely to influence the narrow spread between the two leading contracts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions