National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs currently favor a high of 86–88°F in Atlanta on May 17, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge that enhances subsidence, suppresses cloud formation, and maximizes solar heating under mostly clear skies. This setup aligns with the market’s leading bins of 86–87°F and 88–89°F, which together command over 60% of trader probability. Minor model spread in peak temperature stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon dew-point forecasts, while climatological norms for mid-May place Atlanta highs near 83°F. Resolution hinges on official observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, with any late-day convection or wind shift capable of trimming the maximum by 1–2°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日亞特蘭大最高溫度?
86-87°F 33%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 14%
$17,070 交易量
$17,070 交易量
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F或更高
<1%
86-87°F 33%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 14%
$17,070 交易量
$17,070 交易量
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs currently favor a high of 86–88°F in Atlanta on May 17, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge that enhances subsidence, suppresses cloud formation, and maximizes solar heating under mostly clear skies. This setup aligns with the market’s leading bins of 86–87°F and 88–89°F, which together command over 60% of trader probability. Minor model spread in peak temperature stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon dew-point forecasts, while climatological norms for mid-May place Atlanta highs near 83°F. Resolution hinges on official observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, with any late-day convection or wind shift capable of trimming the maximum by 1–2°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions