Current National Weather Service forecast models indicate daytime highs in Houston will reach the upper 80s or higher on May 15, supported by persistent southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-spring patterns in southeast Texas. Climatological records show mid-May average highs near 85°F, with recent surface observations aligning with seasonal warming and no significant frontal passages expected. This consensus from official guidance drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 86°F or above. An unforecasted cold front or widespread cloud cover and heavy rain could reduce maximum temperatures, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on May 15?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$18,230 交易量
$18,230 交易量
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$18,230 交易量
$18,230 交易量
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current National Weather Service forecast models indicate daytime highs in Houston will reach the upper 80s or higher on May 15, supported by persistent southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-spring patterns in southeast Texas. Climatological records show mid-May average highs near 85°F, with recent surface observations aligning with seasonal warming and no significant frontal passages expected. This consensus from official guidance drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 86°F or above. An unforecasted cold front or widespread cloud cover and heavy rain could reduce maximum temperatures, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions