Mid-August climatology in Jinan, Shandong, places average daily highs near 31°C, with typical ranges of 27–34°C drawn from long-term observations and current 2026 forecasts. These conditions reflect peak summer heating under subtropical influence, with no modeled cold fronts, heavy cloud cover, or precipitation events sufficient to suppress maxima below 26°C. Official guidance from sources tracking regional temperatures shows consistent daily peaks in this elevated band through the period. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher aligns with this robust evidence base. Only an extreme, unforecasted weather shift—such as an anomalous northerly surge—could realistically alter the outcome, though model agreement makes such divergence highly improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日濟南氣溫最高?
26°C或更高 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
100%
26°C或更高 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mid-August climatology in Jinan, Shandong, places average daily highs near 31°C, with typical ranges of 27–34°C drawn from long-term observations and current 2026 forecasts. These conditions reflect peak summer heating under subtropical influence, with no modeled cold fronts, heavy cloud cover, or precipitation events sufficient to suppress maxima below 26°C. Official guidance from sources tracking regional temperatures shows consistent daily peaks in this elevated band through the period. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher aligns with this robust evidence base. Only an extreme, unforecasted weather shift—such as an anomalous northerly surge—could realistically alter the outcome, though model agreement makes such divergence highly improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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