Traders have priced the highest temperature in Jinan on September 12 at 26°C or higher with near-certainty due to real-time observations and short-term model consensus showing daytime peaks of 29–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in Shandong, where September averages around 26°C highs but current atmospheric stability and lack of significant frontal systems support sustained warmth. Official monitoring from Chinese meteorological services confirms temperatures have already exceeded 28°C during peak afternoon hours, leaving negligible probability for lower outcomes. A sudden unforecasted cold surge or measurement revision remains the only realistic path to challenge the dominant positioning before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日濟南氣溫最高？
9月12日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C或更高 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,069 交易量
$3,069 交易量
2026-09-12
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
是
26°C或更高 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,069 交易量
$3,069 交易量
2026-09-12
16°C或以下
$1,047 交易量
否
17°C
$1,037 交易量
否
18°C
$97 交易量
否
19°C
$247 交易量
否
20°C
$10 交易量
否
21°C
$10 交易量
否
22°C
$10 交易量
否
23°C
$10 交易量
否
24°C
$30 交易量
否
25°C
$62 交易量
否
26°C或更高
$509 交易量
是
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have priced the highest temperature in Jinan on September 12 at 26°C or higher with near-certainty due to real-time observations and short-term model consensus showing daytime peaks of 29–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in Shandong, where September averages around 26°C highs but current atmospheric stability and lack of significant frontal systems support sustained warmth. Official monitoring from Chinese meteorological services confirms temperatures have already exceeded 28°C during peak afternoon hours, leaving negligible probability for lower outcomes. A sudden unforecasted cold surge or measurement revision remains the only realistic path to challenge the dominant positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,069結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have priced the highest temperature in Jinan on September 12 at 26°C or higher with near-certainty due to real-time observations and short-term model consensus showing daytime peaks of 29–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in Shandong, where September averages around 26°C highs but current atmospheric stability and lack of significant frontal systems support sustained warmth. Official monitoring from Chinese meteorological services confirms temperatures have already exceeded 28°C during peak afternoon hours, leaving negligible probability for lower outcomes. A sudden unforecasted cold surge or measurement revision remains the only realistic path to challenge the dominant positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,069結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have priced the highest temperature in Jinan on September 12 at 26°C or higher with near-certainty due to real-time observations and short-term model consensus showing daytime peaks of 29–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in Shandong, where September averages around 26°C highs but current atmospheric stability and lack of significant frontal systems support sustained warmth. Official monitoring from Chinese meteorological services confirms temperatures have already exceeded 28°C during peak afternoon hours, leaving negligible probability for lower outcomes. A sudden unforecasted cold surge or measurement revision remains the only realistic path to challenge the dominant positioning before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions