PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a maximum of 31.2°C on August 15, confirming the market's 100% consensus on a 31°C high for Manila. Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms suppressed solar heating and convective development, keeping daytime peaks aligned with the typical 30–32°C August range. Ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather showed tight agreement around this level, with minimal model spread. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or altered steering patterns could have allowed modest additional warming, but real-time surface data and monsoon persistence made such deviations improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月15日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,316 交易量
$34,316 交易量
2026-08-15
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,316 交易量
$34,316 交易量
2026-08-15
25°C或以下
$487 交易量
否
26°C
$332 交易量
否
27°C
$1,427 交易量
否
28°C
$3,367 交易量
否
29°C
$3,130 交易量
否
30°C
$4,436 交易量
否
31°C
$10,674 交易量
是
32°C
$5,398 交易量
否
33°C
$2,832 交易量
否
34°C
$1,648 交易量
否
35°C或更高
$584 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a maximum of 31.2°C on August 15, confirming the market's 100% consensus on a 31°C high for Manila. Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms suppressed solar heating and convective development, keeping daytime peaks aligned with the typical 30–32°C August range. Ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather showed tight agreement around this level, with minimal model spread. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or altered steering patterns could have allowed modest additional warming, but real-time surface data and monsoon persistence made such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$34,316結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a maximum of 31.2°C on August 15, confirming the market's 100% consensus on a 31°C high for Manila. Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms suppressed solar heating and convective development, keeping daytime peaks aligned with the typical 30–32°C August range. Ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather showed tight agreement around this level, with minimal model spread. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or altered steering patterns could have allowed modest additional warming, but real-time surface data and monsoon persistence made such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,316結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a maximum of 31.2°C on August 15, confirming the market's 100% consensus on a 31°C high for Manila. Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms suppressed solar heating and convective development, keeping daytime peaks aligned with the typical 30–32°C August range. Ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather showed tight agreement around this level, with minimal model spread. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or altered steering patterns could have allowed modest additional warming, but real-time surface data and monsoon persistence made such deviations improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions