Official meteorological observations from Munich's primary weather stations, including those operated under German national monitoring networks, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C on August 13. This aligns with regional forecast model outputs and surface analyses showing stable high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating to this level. With resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings, the 100% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects the absence of any plausible revision from official data. Scenarios that could alter this outcome remain narrow, such as an undetected sensor malfunction or post-event data quality review, though historical precedents indicate such adjustments occur infrequently once initial reports are published.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
8月13日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$61,221 交易量
$61,221 交易量
2026-08-13
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$61,221 交易量
$61,221 交易量
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$278 交易量
No
25°C
$263 交易量
No
26°C
$1,117 交易量
No
27°C
$840 交易量
No
28°C
$901 交易量
No
29°C
$5,785 交易量
No
30°C
$17,679 交易量
No
31°C
$15,488 交易量
Yes
32°C
$11,891 交易量
No
33°C
$5,734 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$1,246 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Munich's primary weather stations, including those operated under German national monitoring networks, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C on August 13. This aligns with regional forecast model outputs and surface analyses showing stable high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating to this level. With resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings, the 100% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects the absence of any plausible revision from official data. Scenarios that could alter this outcome remain narrow, such as an undetected sensor malfunction or post-event data quality review, though historical precedents indicate such adjustments occur infrequently once initial reports are published.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$61,221結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Munich's primary weather stations, including those operated under German national monitoring networks, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C on August 13. This aligns with regional forecast model outputs and surface analyses showing stable high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating to this level. With resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings, the 100% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects the absence of any plausible revision from official data. Scenarios that could alter this outcome remain narrow, such as an undetected sensor malfunction or post-event data quality review, though historical precedents indicate such adjustments occur infrequently once initial reports are published.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$61,221結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official meteorological observations from Munich's primary weather stations, including those operated under German national monitoring networks, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C on August 13. This aligns with regional forecast model outputs and surface analyses showing stable high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating to this level. With resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings, the 100% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects the absence of any plausible revision from official data. Scenarios that could alter this outcome remain narrow, such as an undetected sensor malfunction or post-event data quality review, though historical precedents indicate such adjustments occur infrequently once initial reports are published.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions