Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 12°C (32%) and 13°C (30.5%) for Munich Airport's highest temperature on May 14, driven by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations today reaching only 14°C amid persistent northwest winds at 26 km/h and partial cloud cover, following a recent Arctic trough ushering cool air advection over Central Europe. Latest ECMWF ensembles lean toward 13°C with possible afternoon cloud breaks boosting insolation and diurnal heating, while GFS runs cluster nearer 11-12°C under denser overcast skies and light showers, creating the 22% tail for 14°C or higher. DWD's evening forecast update and hourly airport readings will refine this tight uncertainty before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
12°C 32%
13°C 30%
14°C or higher 23%
11°C 14%
$21,249 交易量
$21,249 交易量
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
14%
12°C
32%
13°C
30%
14°C or higher
23%
12°C 32%
13°C 30%
14°C or higher 23%
11°C 14%
$21,249 交易量
$21,249 交易量
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
14%
12°C
32%
13°C
30%
14°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 12°C (32%) and 13°C (30.5%) for Munich Airport's highest temperature on May 14, driven by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations today reaching only 14°C amid persistent northwest winds at 26 km/h and partial cloud cover, following a recent Arctic trough ushering cool air advection over Central Europe. Latest ECMWF ensembles lean toward 13°C with possible afternoon cloud breaks boosting insolation and diurnal heating, while GFS runs cluster nearer 11-12°C under denser overcast skies and light showers, creating the 22% tail for 14°C or higher. DWD's evening forecast update and hourly airport readings will refine this tight uncertainty before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions