Recent observational data from Météo-France confirm that the highest temperature recorded in Paris on May 17 reached exactly 16°C under a persistent layer of cloud cover and light northerly flow that suppressed daytime heating. Ensemble model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consistently projected maxima 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 18°C owing to an upper-level trough and limited insolation. This scientific consensus has driven the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 16°C outcome. Only an unforeseen late-day break in cloudiness or a post-verification adjustment at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station could realistically alter the final determination.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日巴黎最高溫度?
19°C <1%
16°C 0
17°C 0
18°C 0
$137,636 交易量
$137,636 交易量
16°C
-
17°C
-
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
-
19°C <1%
16°C 0
17°C 0
18°C 0
$137,636 交易量
$137,636 交易量
16°C
-
17°C
-
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent observational data from Météo-France confirm that the highest temperature recorded in Paris on May 17 reached exactly 16°C under a persistent layer of cloud cover and light northerly flow that suppressed daytime heating. Ensemble model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consistently projected maxima 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 18°C owing to an upper-level trough and limited insolation. This scientific consensus has driven the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 16°C outcome. Only an unforeseen late-day break in cloudiness or a post-verification adjustment at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station could realistically alter the final determination.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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