Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high of 29°C in Qingdao on August 13, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over the Yellow Sea coast, where sea breezes and moderate humidity limit extreme heating. Historical climatology shows August averages near 28–30°C, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration aligning closely on this threshold rather than deviation. Coastal moderation reduces the risk of sharp spikes seen inland, supporting the near-certain market-implied odds. Unexpected shifts in steering winds, localized urban heat effects, or revisions in observational data from official stations could still alter the recorded peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日青島氣溫最高？
8月13日青島氣溫最高？
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$44,990 交易量
$44,990 交易量
2026-08-13
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$44,990 交易量
$44,990 交易量
2026-08-13
26°C或以下
$2,327 交易量
否
27°C
$4,965 交易量
否
28°C
$5,274 交易量
否
29°C
$6,313 交易量
是
30°C
$7,281 交易量
否
31°C
$4,101 交易量
否
32°C
$6,722 交易量
否
33°C
$4,434 交易量
否
34°C
$1,953 交易量
否
35°C
$1,353 交易量
否
36°C或更高
$267 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high of 29°C in Qingdao on August 13, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over the Yellow Sea coast, where sea breezes and moderate humidity limit extreme heating. Historical climatology shows August averages near 28–30°C, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration aligning closely on this threshold rather than deviation. Coastal moderation reduces the risk of sharp spikes seen inland, supporting the near-certain market-implied odds. Unexpected shifts in steering winds, localized urban heat effects, or revisions in observational data from official stations could still alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$44,990結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high of 29°C in Qingdao on August 13, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over the Yellow Sea coast, where sea breezes and moderate humidity limit extreme heating. Historical climatology shows August averages near 28–30°C, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration aligning closely on this threshold rather than deviation. Coastal moderation reduces the risk of sharp spikes seen inland, supporting the near-certain market-implied odds. Unexpected shifts in steering winds, localized urban heat effects, or revisions in observational data from official stations could still alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,990結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high of 29°C in Qingdao on August 13, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over the Yellow Sea coast, where sea breezes and moderate humidity limit extreme heating. Historical climatology shows August averages near 28–30°C, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration aligning closely on this threshold rather than deviation. Coastal moderation reduces the risk of sharp spikes seen inland, supporting the near-certain market-implied odds. Unexpected shifts in steering winds, localized urban heat effects, or revisions in observational data from official stations could still alter the recorded peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions