Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models show Seoul's June 12 peak likely near 24–25°C under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity typical of early summer before full monsoon onset. The narrow spread between these leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and urban heat retention, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Stable high-pressure influence and lack of significant frontal systems keep probabilities concentrated here, with warmer 26°C+ scenarios requiring stronger insolation or reduced ventilation than currently indicated. Updated KMA and global model runs tonight will further refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月12日首爾最高溫度?
25°C 39%
24°C 31%
26°C 17%
23°C 14%
$24,863 交易量
$24,863 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
14%
24°C
31%
25°C
39%
26°C
17%
27°C或以上
2%
25°C 39%
24°C 31%
26°C 17%
23°C 14%
$24,863 交易量
$24,863 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
14%
24°C
31%
25°C
39%
26°C
17%
27°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models show Seoul's June 12 peak likely near 24–25°C under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity typical of early summer before full monsoon onset. The narrow spread between these leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and urban heat retention, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Stable high-pressure influence and lack of significant frontal systems keep probabilities concentrated here, with warmer 26°C+ scenarios requiring stronger insolation or reduced ventilation than currently indicated. Updated KMA and global model runs tonight will further refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions