Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Tel Aviv under weak high-pressure influence with abundant sunshine and light northwesterly winds on May 18, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30 °C before typical Mediterranean sea-breeze onset caps further warming. This positioning follows a mid-May heat surge that delivered 32 °C readings on May 14 and a subsequent drop to 23–25 °C on May 15–16 driven by enhanced northerly flow. Historical mid-May climatology averages 26 °C, yet current model consensus favors modest above-normal warmth absent significant cloud cover or precipitation. Traders weigh these signals against resolution criteria tied to Ben Gurion Airport observations, with next Israel Meteorological Service updates likely to refine the tight spread among 28–30 °C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
29°C 30%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
31°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
21%
29°C
30%
30°C
28%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 30%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
31°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
21%
29°C
30%
30°C
28%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Tel Aviv under weak high-pressure influence with abundant sunshine and light northwesterly winds on May 18, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30 °C before typical Mediterranean sea-breeze onset caps further warming. This positioning follows a mid-May heat surge that delivered 32 °C readings on May 14 and a subsequent drop to 23–25 °C on May 15–16 driven by enhanced northerly flow. Historical mid-May climatology averages 26 °C, yet current model consensus favors modest above-normal warmth absent significant cloud cover or precipitation. Traders weigh these signals against resolution criteria tied to Ben Gurion Airport observations, with next Israel Meteorological Service updates likely to refine the tight spread among 28–30 °C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions