Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge across the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C-or-higher outcome at 62% implied probability for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to drive rapid surface warming, pushing temperatures well above the city’s May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 have shifted quickly to this warming pattern, reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
35°C or higher 64%
34°C 30%
33°C 1.1%
29°C <1%
$23,378 交易量
$23,378 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
30%
35°C or higher
64%
35°C or higher 64%
34°C 30%
33°C 1.1%
29°C <1%
$23,378 交易量
$23,378 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
30%
35°C or higher
64%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge across the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C-or-higher outcome at 62% implied probability for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to drive rapid surface warming, pushing temperatures well above the city’s May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 have shifted quickly to this warming pattern, reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions