Real-time observations and numerical weather models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daily maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on September 15 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer. This aligns with the market's near-100% implied probability for 34°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified station data rather than forecasts. Historical September averages near 29–32°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns support the elevated reading. Resolution hinges on official hourly maxima; minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C before the close of the observation period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月15日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
34°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$20,857 交易量
$20,857 交易量
2026-09-15
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
34°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$20,857 交易量
$20,857 交易量
2026-09-15
28°C或以下
$803 交易量
否
29°C
$248 交易量
否
30°C
$186 交易量
否
31°C
$544 交易量
否
32°C
$1,813 交易量
否
33°C
$6,185 交易量
否
34°C
$8,373 交易量
是
35°C
$2,060 交易量
否
36°C
$168 交易量
否
37°C
$338 交易量
否
38°C或更高
$138 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Real-time observations and numerical weather models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daily maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on September 15 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer. This aligns with the market's near-100% implied probability for 34°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified station data rather than forecasts. Historical September averages near 29–32°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns support the elevated reading. Resolution hinges on official hourly maxima; minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$20,857結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Real-time observations and numerical weather models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daily maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on September 15 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer. This aligns with the market's near-100% implied probability for 34°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified station data rather than forecasts. Historical September averages near 29–32°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns support the elevated reading. Resolution hinges on official hourly maxima; minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,857結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Real-time observations and numerical weather models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daily maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on September 15 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer. This aligns with the market's near-100% implied probability for 34°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified station data rather than forecasts. Historical September averages near 29–32°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns support the elevated reading. Resolution hinges on official hourly maxima; minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C before the close of the observation period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions