Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a peak temperature near 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 16 under clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity around 50–60%. This aligns with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where average September highs reach approximately 31°C, with recent days showing slightly elevated readings due to persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus supports limited afternoon heating beyond 33°C, keeping 34°C or higher at low implied probability while rendering sub-32°C outcomes unlikely absent unexpected cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月16日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 81%
34°C 11%
32°C 7.4%
35°C <1%
$25,045 交易量
$25,045 交易量
2026-09-16
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
7%
33°C
81%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
33°C 81%
34°C 11%
32°C 7.4%
35°C <1%
$25,045 交易量
$25,045 交易量
2026-09-16
29°C或以下
$3,312 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,960 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,464 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,191 交易量
7%
33°C
$6,423 交易量
81%
34°C
$6,041 交易量
11%
35°C
$2,199 交易量
1%
36°C
$546 交易量
<1%
37°C
$201 交易量
<1%
38°C
$307 交易量
<1%
39°C或以上
$402 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a peak temperature near 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 16 under clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity around 50–60%. This aligns with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where average September highs reach approximately 31°C, with recent days showing slightly elevated readings due to persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus supports limited afternoon heating beyond 33°C, keeping 34°C or higher at low implied probability while rendering sub-32°C outcomes unlikely absent unexpected cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$25,045結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a peak temperature near 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 16 under clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity around 50–60%. This aligns with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where average September highs reach approximately 31°C, with recent days showing slightly elevated readings due to persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus supports limited afternoon heating beyond 33°C, keeping 34°C or higher at low implied probability while rendering sub-32°C outcomes unlikely absent unexpected cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,045結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a peak temperature near 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on September 16 under clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity around 50–60%. This aligns with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where average September highs reach approximately 31°C, with recent days showing slightly elevated readings due to persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus supports limited afternoon heating beyond 33°C, keeping 34°C or higher at low implied probability while rendering sub-32°C outcomes unlikely absent unexpected cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions