**Trader consensus at 99.9% for 32°C or higher on August 24 reflects Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, where late-August daily highs normally average 31–33°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently projected afternoon maxima near 32°C (89–90°F) amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with multi-year observations at Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport. This strong baseline, reinforced by the absence of any cooling frontal passage or widespread convection in the 48-hour run-up, produced near-certain market-implied odds. Only an unusually vigorous cold-air intrusion or prolonged heavy rain—both statistically rare this late in the season—could realistically pull the maximum below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日鄭州氣溫最高？
8月24日鄭州氣溫最高？
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,210 交易量
$3,210 交易量
2026-08-24
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,210 交易量
$3,210 交易量
2026-08-24
22°C or below
$225 交易量
No
23°C
$125 交易量
No
24°C
$205 交易量
No
25°C
$205 交易量
No
26°C
$125 交易量
No
27°C
$205 交易量
No
28°C
$200 交易量
No
29°C
$757 交易量
No
30°C
$436 交易量
No
31°C
$401 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$326 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.9% for 32°C or higher on August 24 reflects Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, where late-August daily highs normally average 31–33°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently projected afternoon maxima near 32°C (89–90°F) amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with multi-year observations at Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport. This strong baseline, reinforced by the absence of any cooling frontal passage or widespread convection in the 48-hour run-up, produced near-certain market-implied odds. Only an unusually vigorous cold-air intrusion or prolonged heavy rain—both statistically rare this late in the season—could realistically pull the maximum below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,210結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.9% for 32°C or higher on August 24 reflects Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, where late-August daily highs normally average 31–33°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently projected afternoon maxima near 32°C (89–90°F) amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with multi-year observations at Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport. This strong baseline, reinforced by the absence of any cooling frontal passage or widespread convection in the 48-hour run-up, produced near-certain market-implied odds. Only an unusually vigorous cold-air intrusion or prolonged heavy rain—both statistically rare this late in the season—could realistically pull the maximum below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,210結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus at 99.9% for 32°C or higher on August 24 reflects Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, where late-August daily highs normally average 31–33°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently projected afternoon maxima near 32°C (89–90°F) amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with multi-year observations at Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport. This strong baseline, reinforced by the absence of any cooling frontal passage or widespread convection in the 48-hour run-up, produced near-certain market-implied odds. Only an unusually vigorous cold-air intrusion or prolonged heavy rain—both statistically rare this late in the season—could realistically pull the maximum below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions