Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 31–32°C or slightly higher for Zhengzhou on August 30, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer solar heating across the North China Plain. This aligns with regional climatology, where August highs average near 30–31°C, and recent runs show little deviation from baseline conditions with minimal precipitation expected. The market-implied odds near 100% for 32°C or above reflect strong model consensus on peak temperatures. Only substantial, unexpected afternoon cloud cover or localized convective cooling could realistically keep the official high below that threshold, though current guidance assigns negligible probability to such outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日鄭州氣溫最高？
8月30日鄭州氣溫最高？
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,067 交易量
$7,067 交易量
2026-08-30
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,067 交易量
$7,067 交易量
2026-08-30
22°C or below
$1,358 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,080 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,180 交易量
<1%
25°C
$120 交易量
<1%
26°C
$110 交易量
<1%
27°C
$238 交易量
<1%
28°C
$370 交易量
<1%
29°C
$485 交易量
<1%
30°C
$560 交易量
<1%
31°C
$576 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$989 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 31–32°C or slightly higher for Zhengzhou on August 30, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer solar heating across the North China Plain. This aligns with regional climatology, where August highs average near 30–31°C, and recent runs show little deviation from baseline conditions with minimal precipitation expected. The market-implied odds near 100% for 32°C or above reflect strong model consensus on peak temperatures. Only substantial, unexpected afternoon cloud cover or localized convective cooling could realistically keep the official high below that threshold, though current guidance assigns negligible probability to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$7,067結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 31–32°C or slightly higher for Zhengzhou on August 30, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer solar heating across the North China Plain. This aligns with regional climatology, where August highs average near 30–31°C, and recent runs show little deviation from baseline conditions with minimal precipitation expected. The market-implied odds near 100% for 32°C or above reflect strong model consensus on peak temperatures. Only substantial, unexpected afternoon cloud cover or localized convective cooling could realistically keep the official high below that threshold, though current guidance assigns negligible probability to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,067結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 31–32°C or slightly higher for Zhengzhou on August 30, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer solar heating across the North China Plain. This aligns with regional climatology, where August highs average near 30–31°C, and recent runs show little deviation from baseline conditions with minimal precipitation expected. The market-implied odds near 100% for 32°C or above reflect strong model consensus on peak temperatures. Only substantial, unexpected afternoon cloud cover or localized convective cooling could realistically keep the official high below that threshold, though current guidance assigns negligible probability to such outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions