**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日鄭州最低氣溫？
8月30日鄭州最低氣溫？
23°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
$3,119 交易量
$3,119 交易量
2026-08-30
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
23°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
$3,119 交易量
$3,119 交易量
2026-08-30
15°C或以下
$668 交易量
否
16°C
$53 交易量
否
17°C
$53 交易量
否
18°C
$97 交易量
否
19°C
$117 交易量
否
20°C
$677 交易量
否
21°C
$90 交易量
否
22°C
$761 交易量
否
23°C
$18 交易量
是
24°C
$95 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$490 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$3,119結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,119結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions