Taiwan's opposition parties, holding a legislative majority but short of the required supermajority, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a dispute involving executive refusal to countersign revenue allocation legislation. Hearings continued into mid-May 2026 ahead of a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that needs three-quarters support to advance, a threshold the Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party caucuses cannot meet without ruling Democratic Progressive Party backing. This procedural reality, reinforced by the opposition's own public framing of the effort as a check on executive power, has produced the near-certain trader consensus reflected in current pricing. While late developments such as unexpected coalition shifts or constitutional court intervention before June 30 remain theoretically possible, they face steep institutional barriers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$618,979 交易量
$618,979 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$618,979 交易量
$618,979 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties, holding a legislative majority but short of the required supermajority, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a dispute involving executive refusal to countersign revenue allocation legislation. Hearings continued into mid-May 2026 ahead of a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that needs three-quarters support to advance, a threshold the Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party caucuses cannot meet without ruling Democratic Progressive Party backing. This procedural reality, reinforced by the opposition's own public framing of the effort as a check on executive power, has produced the near-certain trader consensus reflected in current pricing. While late developments such as unexpected coalition shifts or constitutional court intervention before June 30 remain theoretically possible, they face steep institutional barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
交易量
$618,979結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties, holding a legislative majority but short of the required supermajority, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a dispute involving executive refusal to countersign revenue allocation legislation. Hearings continued into mid-May 2026 ahead of a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that needs three-quarters support to advance, a threshold the Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party caucuses cannot meet without ruling Democratic Progressive Party backing. This procedural reality, reinforced by the opposition's own public framing of the effort as a check on executive power, has produced the near-certain trader consensus reflected in current pricing. While late developments such as unexpected coalition shifts or constitutional court intervention before June 30 remain theoretically possible, they face steep institutional barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$618,979結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties, holding a legislative majority but short of the required supermajority, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a dispute involving executive refusal to countersign revenue allocation legislation. Hearings continued into mid-May 2026 ahead of a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that needs three-quarters support to advance, a threshold the Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party caucuses cannot meet without ruling Democratic Progressive Party backing. This procedural reality, reinforced by the opposition's own public framing of the effort as a check on executive power, has produced the near-certain trader consensus reflected in current pricing. While late developments such as unexpected coalition shifts or constitutional court intervention before June 30 remain theoretically possible, they face steep institutional barriers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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