Trader consensus has converged on a 7°C minimum for Buenos Aires on August 28 due to official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and airport station data (e.g., Ministro Pistarini) recording that exact overnight low under stable, partly cloudy conditions following earlier rainfall. Radiational cooling under light easterly winds and high humidity enabled temperatures to reach this level near dawn, consistent with seasonal August climatology where typical minima fall between 5–9°C. Model guidance and real-time updates aligned closely with this threshold ahead of market resolution, leaving little room for deviation. Only an unexpected data revision from the primary reporting station or a shift to a non-standard measurement site could realistically alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度?
7°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,038 交易量
$2,038 交易量
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
是
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或以上
否
7°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,038 交易量
$2,038 交易量
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
是
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has converged on a 7°C minimum for Buenos Aires on August 28 due to official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and airport station data (e.g., Ministro Pistarini) recording that exact overnight low under stable, partly cloudy conditions following earlier rainfall. Radiational cooling under light easterly winds and high humidity enabled temperatures to reach this level near dawn, consistent with seasonal August climatology where typical minima fall between 5–9°C. Model guidance and real-time updates aligned closely with this threshold ahead of market resolution, leaving little room for deviation. Only an unexpected data revision from the primary reporting station or a shift to a non-standard measurement site could realistically alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions