Recent official forecasts from meteorological sources indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Istanbul through September 12, supporting daytime highs near 28–29°C and overnight lows of 18–20°C under high pressure. This pattern favors moderate radiative cooling at night without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to trap heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, particularly at official urban or airport measurement sites. With leading market outcomes clustered around extremes, traders appear to price in residual uncertainty from short-range forecast revisions and potential local microclimate effects rather than any major synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact overnight minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
9月12日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
24°C或以上 85%
14°C或以下 68%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
14°C或以下
68%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
24%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C或以上
85%
24°C或以上 85%
14°C或以下 68%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
68%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
40%
18°C
$0 交易量
40%
19°C
$0 交易量
22%
20°C
$0 交易量
22%
21°C
$0 交易量
24%
22°C
$0 交易量
40%
23°C
$0 交易量
40%
24°C或以上
$0 交易量
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological sources indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Istanbul through September 12, supporting daytime highs near 28–29°C and overnight lows of 18–20°C under high pressure. This pattern favors moderate radiative cooling at night without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to trap heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, particularly at official urban or airport measurement sites. With leading market outcomes clustered around extremes, traders appear to price in residual uncertainty from short-range forecast revisions and potential local microclimate effects rather than any major synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological sources indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Istanbul through September 12, supporting daytime highs near 28–29°C and overnight lows of 18–20°C under high pressure. This pattern favors moderate radiative cooling at night without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to trap heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, particularly at official urban or airport measurement sites. With leading market outcomes clustered around extremes, traders appear to price in residual uncertainty from short-range forecast revisions and potential local microclimate effects rather than any major synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent official forecasts from meteorological sources indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Istanbul through September 12, supporting daytime highs near 28–29°C and overnight lows of 18–20°C under high pressure. This pattern favors moderate radiative cooling at night without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to trap heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, particularly at official urban or airport measurement sites. With leading market outcomes clustered around extremes, traders appear to price in residual uncertainty from short-range forecast revisions and potential local microclimate effects rather than any major synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact overnight minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions