Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a daily high of exactly 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driven by the latest official forecast runs from regional meteorological agencies aligning on that precise peak under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. Current surface observations and model consensus reflect typical early-autumn conditions with limited diurnal heating, consistent with seasonal baselines around 24–26°C for the date. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized sea-breeze effects remain, yet latest guidance shows no credible path to deviation. A sudden increase in cloud cover or wind shift could theoretically alter the maximum by 1–2°C, though such developments appear improbable given the stability of the current pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月12日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$18,344 交易量
$18,344 交易量
2026-09-12
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$18,344 交易量
$18,344 交易量
2026-09-12
22°C或以下
$255 交易量
否
23°C
$323 交易量
否
24°C
$1,337 交易量
否
25°C
$5,178 交易量
是
26°C
$6,337 交易量
否
27°C
$1,906 交易量
否
28°C
$1,339 交易量
否
29°C
$813 交易量
否
30°C
$605 交易量
否
31°C
$114 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$135 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a daily high of exactly 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driven by the latest official forecast runs from regional meteorological agencies aligning on that precise peak under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. Current surface observations and model consensus reflect typical early-autumn conditions with limited diurnal heating, consistent with seasonal baselines around 24–26°C for the date. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized sea-breeze effects remain, yet latest guidance shows no credible path to deviation. A sudden increase in cloud cover or wind shift could theoretically alter the maximum by 1–2°C, though such developments appear improbable given the stability of the current pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$18,344結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a daily high of exactly 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driven by the latest official forecast runs from regional meteorological agencies aligning on that precise peak under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. Current surface observations and model consensus reflect typical early-autumn conditions with limited diurnal heating, consistent with seasonal baselines around 24–26°C for the date. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized sea-breeze effects remain, yet latest guidance shows no credible path to deviation. A sudden increase in cloud cover or wind shift could theoretically alter the maximum by 1–2°C, though such developments appear improbable given the stability of the current pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,344結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a daily high of exactly 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driven by the latest official forecast runs from regional meteorological agencies aligning on that precise peak under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. Current surface observations and model consensus reflect typical early-autumn conditions with limited diurnal heating, consistent with seasonal baselines around 24–26°C for the date. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized sea-breeze effects remain, yet latest guidance shows no credible path to deviation. A sudden increase in cloud cover or wind shift could theoretically alter the maximum by 1–2°C, though such developments appear improbable given the stability of the current pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions