Latest forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project overnight lows in Jinan on August 24 around 24–27°C, driven by persistent late-summer subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for Shandong in late August, where average minima hover near 23°C and strong frontal systems capable of sharper drops remain absent. The resulting trader consensus places 22°C or higher at 55% implied probability as the dominant outcome, with probabilities clustering around 23–26% for 19–21°C ranges reflecting minor model spread in timing or intensity of any showers. Upcoming updates from regional short-range models will refine these values ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日濟南最低氣溫?
12°C或以下 54%
19°C 52%
20°C 52%
21°C 52%
12°C或以下
54%
13°C
42%
14°C
42%
15°C
42%
16°C
42%
17°C
42%
18°C
42%
19°C
52%
20°C
52%
21°C
52%
22°C或以上
55%
12°C或以下 54%
19°C 52%
20°C 52%
21°C 52%
12°C或以下
54%
13°C
42%
14°C
42%
15°C
42%
16°C
42%
17°C
42%
18°C
42%
19°C
52%
20°C
52%
21°C
52%
22°C或以上
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project overnight lows in Jinan on August 24 around 24–27°C, driven by persistent late-summer subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for Shandong in late August, where average minima hover near 23°C and strong frontal systems capable of sharper drops remain absent. The resulting trader consensus places 22°C or higher at 55% implied probability as the dominant outcome, with probabilities clustering around 23–26% for 19–21°C ranges reflecting minor model spread in timing or intensity of any showers. Upcoming updates from regional short-range models will refine these values ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions