**Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models points to a minimum temperature in Jinan of 17–21°C on September 21, 2026, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens °C are the main controls, with clearer breaks potentially allowing lows near 17°C while residual cloud cover or urban heat island effects could hold readings closer to 20–21°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with typical early-autumn variability in the North China Plain rather than any strong cold-air advection. Official observations later today will resolve the exact value, with traders weighting the latest NMC and ECMWF guidance most heavily.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日濟南最低氣溫？
9月21日濟南最低氣溫？
15°C 92%
12°C或以下 89%
13°C 89%
19°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
12°C或以下
89%
13°C
89%
14°C
9%
15°C
92%
16°C
47%
17°C
47%
18°C
47%
19°C
50%
20°C
45%
21°C
50%
22°C或以上
<1%
15°C 92%
12°C或以下 89%
13°C 89%
19°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
12°C或以下
$10 交易量
89%
13°C
$10 交易量
89%
14°C
$10 交易量
9%
15°C
$58 交易量
92%
16°C
$36 交易量
47%
17°C
$0 交易量
47%
18°C
$0 交易量
47%
19°C
$0 交易量
50%
20°C
$0 交易量
45%
21°C
$0 交易量
50%
22°C或以上
$58 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models points to a minimum temperature in Jinan of 17–21°C on September 21, 2026, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.**
Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens °C are the main controls, with clearer breaks potentially allowing lows near 17°C while residual cloud cover or urban heat island effects could hold readings closer to 20–21°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with typical early-autumn variability in the North China Plain rather than any strong cold-air advection. Official observations later today will resolve the exact value, with traders weighting the latest NMC and ECMWF guidance most heavily.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$182結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models points to a minimum temperature in Jinan of 17–21°C on September 21, 2026, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.**
Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens °C are the main controls, with clearer breaks potentially allowing lows near 17°C while residual cloud cover or urban heat island effects could hold readings closer to 20–21°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with typical early-autumn variability in the North China Plain rather than any strong cold-air advection. Official observations later today will resolve the exact value, with traders weighting the latest NMC and ECMWF guidance most heavily.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$182結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET**Forecast consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international models points to a minimum temperature in Jinan of 17–21°C on September 21, 2026, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens °C are the main controls, with clearer breaks potentially allowing lows near 17°C while residual cloud cover or urban heat island effects could hold readings closer to 20–21°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with typical early-autumn variability in the North China Plain rather than any strong cold-air advection. Official observations later today will resolve the exact value, with traders weighting the latest NMC and ECMWF guidance most heavily.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions