Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate London experienced mild conditions on September 8, 2026, with daytime highs near 20–22°C under variable cloud and light rain, followed by overnight cooling to a minimum around 12–13°C amid westerly winds and clearing skies. This aligns with seasonal September norms for the region, where radiative cooling under clearing conditions typically produces lows in the low teens Celsius. Trader positioning, with strong implied probability on 14°C and secondary support for 13°C, reflects expectations of a slightly milder minimum than initial model consensus, possibly due to urban heat island effects or station-specific readings near central London. Updated model runs showing limited further cooling overnight have reinforced this market sentiment ahead of final official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日倫敦的最低溫度?
14°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$9,690 交易量
$9,690 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
14°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$9,690 交易量
$9,690 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate London experienced mild conditions on September 8, 2026, with daytime highs near 20–22°C under variable cloud and light rain, followed by overnight cooling to a minimum around 12–13°C amid westerly winds and clearing skies. This aligns with seasonal September norms for the region, where radiative cooling under clearing conditions typically produces lows in the low teens Celsius. Trader positioning, with strong implied probability on 14°C and secondary support for 13°C, reflects expectations of a slightly milder minimum than initial model consensus, possibly due to urban heat island effects or station-specific readings near central London. Updated model runs showing limited further cooling overnight have reinforced this market sentiment ahead of final official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions