Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Milan on September 14, driven by the latest observational data and short-range model consensus from European forecasting centers showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under clear, stable conditions with light easterly flow. Recent surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cooling potential below this level, consistent with September climatology for the Po Valley where radiative cooling is moderated by urban heat and regional humidity. The strong market-implied odds reflect high-confidence resolution criteria tied to official station readings rather than broader forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day radiative drop or station-specific microclimate effect pushing readings lower, though current atmospheric stability makes this unlikely before final daily verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日米蘭的最低溫度？
9月14日米蘭的最低溫度？
15°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C <1%
$1,777 交易量
$1,777 交易量
2026-09-14
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
15°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C <1%
$1,777 交易量
$1,777 交易量
2026-09-14
11°C或以下
$16 交易量
否
12°C
$16 交易量
否
13°C
$96 交易量
否
14°C
$91 交易量
否
15°C
$347 交易量
是
16°C
$240 交易量
否
17°C
$347 交易量
否
18°C
$273 交易量
否
19°C
$326 交易量
否
20°C
$0 交易量
否
21°C或以上
$25 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Milan on September 14, driven by the latest observational data and short-range model consensus from European forecasting centers showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under clear, stable conditions with light easterly flow. Recent surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cooling potential below this level, consistent with September climatology for the Po Valley where radiative cooling is moderated by urban heat and regional humidity. The strong market-implied odds reflect high-confidence resolution criteria tied to official station readings rather than broader forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day radiative drop or station-specific microclimate effect pushing readings lower, though current atmospheric stability makes this unlikely before final daily verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,777結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Milan on September 14, driven by the latest observational data and short-range model consensus from European forecasting centers showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under clear, stable conditions with light easterly flow. Recent surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cooling potential below this level, consistent with September climatology for the Po Valley where radiative cooling is moderated by urban heat and regional humidity. The strong market-implied odds reflect high-confidence resolution criteria tied to official station readings rather than broader forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day radiative drop or station-specific microclimate effect pushing readings lower, though current atmospheric stability makes this unlikely before final daily verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,777結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Milan on September 14, driven by the latest observational data and short-range model consensus from European forecasting centers showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under clear, stable conditions with light easterly flow. Recent surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cooling potential below this level, consistent with September climatology for the Po Valley where radiative cooling is moderated by urban heat and regional humidity. The strong market-implied odds reflect high-confidence resolution criteria tied to official station readings rather than broader forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day radiative drop or station-specific microclimate effect pushing readings lower, though current atmospheric stability makes this unlikely before final daily verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions