Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime minimum near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, aligning closely with the long-term average low of 8.6°C for September 12. Multiple model runs show overnight temperatures bottoming out between roughly 8–10°C, with the exact minimum hinging on subtle differences in radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects. Trader sentiment remains split between the 8°C and 9°C outcomes because small forecast adjustments or microscale variations could easily shift the recorded low across that threshold before dawn on the 13th. No major synoptic changes or extreme events are expected to alter this range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日莫斯科最低溫度？
9月12日莫斯科最低溫度？
9°C 99%
7°C 1.0%
8°C 1.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
$554 交易量
$554 交易量
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或以上
否
9°C 99%
7°C 1.0%
8°C 1.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
$554 交易量
$554 交易量
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
$25 交易量
否
5°C
$15 交易量
否
6°C
$15 交易量
否
7°C
$35 交易量
否
8°C
$38 交易量
否
9°C
$200 交易量
是
10°C
$182 交易量
否
11°C
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$15 交易量
否
13°C
$15 交易量
否
14°C或以上
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime minimum near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, aligning closely with the long-term average low of 8.6°C for September 12. Multiple model runs show overnight temperatures bottoming out between roughly 8–10°C, with the exact minimum hinging on subtle differences in radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects. Trader sentiment remains split between the 8°C and 9°C outcomes because small forecast adjustments or microscale variations could easily shift the recorded low across that threshold before dawn on the 13th. No major synoptic changes or extreme events are expected to alter this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$554結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime minimum near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, aligning closely with the long-term average low of 8.6°C for September 12. Multiple model runs show overnight temperatures bottoming out between roughly 8–10°C, with the exact minimum hinging on subtle differences in radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects. Trader sentiment remains split between the 8°C and 9°C outcomes because small forecast adjustments or microscale variations could easily shift the recorded low across that threshold before dawn on the 13th. No major synoptic changes or extreme events are expected to alter this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$554結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime minimum near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, aligning closely with the long-term average low of 8.6°C for September 12. Multiple model runs show overnight temperatures bottoming out between roughly 8–10°C, with the exact minimum hinging on subtle differences in radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects. Trader sentiment remains split between the 8°C and 9°C outcomes because small forecast adjustments or microscale variations could easily shift the recorded low across that threshold before dawn on the 13th. No major synoptic changes or extreme events are expected to alter this range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions