Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to overnight minimum temperatures in Taipei near 24–26°C under stable subtropical high pressure and light easterly flow, supporting the tight clustering around 26°C and the 21°C-or-below outcome. Persistent humidity near 90% and variable low-level cloud cover limit radiative cooling, while urban heat effects and exact observation timing at the official station create measurable uncertainty in the final low. No approaching tropical systems are altering steering patterns or adding moisture that would shift the range sharply. Traders are weighting the balance between typical September climatology and small forecast spreads in the latest runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日臺北最低氣溫?
26°C 99.5%
21°C或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$496 交易量
$496 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
26°C 99.5%
21°C或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$496 交易量
$496 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to overnight minimum temperatures in Taipei near 24–26°C under stable subtropical high pressure and light easterly flow, supporting the tight clustering around 26°C and the 21°C-or-below outcome. Persistent humidity near 90% and variable low-level cloud cover limit radiative cooling, while urban heat effects and exact observation timing at the official station create measurable uncertainty in the final low. No approaching tropical systems are altering steering patterns or adding moisture that would shift the range sharply. Traders are weighting the balance between typical September climatology and small forecast spreads in the latest runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions