**Recent forecasts from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), Met Office, and global models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate a low temperature for Tokyo on September 6, 2026, most likely in the 20–22°C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 21°C (49.5%) and 22°C (33.5%).** Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity—driven by a northerly flow and an active weather system—are limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. These factors position 21°C as the consensus midpoint, with 22°C reflecting slightly warmer model runs and 20°C capturing cooler edge cases if heavier rain enhances evaporative cooling. Historical September baselines (average lows near 21–22°C) provide context, but the current pattern of 100% precipitation chances and dew points near or above 20°C reduces the likelihood of sharper drops. Upcoming JMA and regional model updates will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing, directly influencing final resolution around the 20–22°C thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日東京最低溫度？
9月6日東京最低溫度？
21°C 50%
22°C 34%
20°C 16%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
16%
21°C
50%
22°C
34%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 34%
20°C 16%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
17°C或以下
$15 交易量
<1%
18°C
$15 交易量
1%
19°C
$0 交易量
7%
20°C
$545 交易量
16%
21°C
$163 交易量
50%
22°C
$440 交易量
34%
23°C
$15 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
2%
25°C
$15 交易量
1%
26°C
$15 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), Met Office, and global models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate a low temperature for Tokyo on September 6, 2026, most likely in the 20–22°C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 21°C (49.5%) and 22°C (33.5%).** Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity—driven by a northerly flow and an active weather system—are limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions.
These factors position 21°C as the consensus midpoint, with 22°C reflecting slightly warmer model runs and 20°C capturing cooler edge cases if heavier rain enhances evaporative cooling. Historical September baselines (average lows near 21–22°C) provide context, but the current pattern of 100% precipitation chances and dew points near or above 20°C reduces the likelihood of sharper drops. Upcoming JMA and regional model updates will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing, directly influencing final resolution around the 20–22°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,239結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), Met Office, and global models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate a low temperature for Tokyo on September 6, 2026, most likely in the 20–22°C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 21°C (49.5%) and 22°C (33.5%).** Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity—driven by a northerly flow and an active weather system—are limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions.
These factors position 21°C as the consensus midpoint, with 22°C reflecting slightly warmer model runs and 20°C capturing cooler edge cases if heavier rain enhances evaporative cooling. Historical September baselines (average lows near 21–22°C) provide context, but the current pattern of 100% precipitation chances and dew points near or above 20°C reduces the likelihood of sharper drops. Upcoming JMA and regional model updates will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing, directly influencing final resolution around the 20–22°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,239結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Recent forecasts from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), Met Office, and global models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate a low temperature for Tokyo on September 6, 2026, most likely in the 20–22°C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 21°C (49.5%) and 22°C (33.5%).** Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity—driven by a northerly flow and an active weather system—are limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. These factors position 21°C as the consensus midpoint, with 22°C reflecting slightly warmer model runs and 20°C capturing cooler edge cases if heavier rain enhances evaporative cooling. Historical September baselines (average lows near 21–22°C) provide context, but the current pattern of 100% precipitation chances and dew points near or above 20°C reduces the likelihood of sharper drops. Upcoming JMA and regional model updates will refine steering patterns and rainfall timing, directly influencing final resolution around the 20–22°C thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions