Recent stormy conditions with heavy rain, thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds have cooled Tokyo overnight, limiting radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and producing a minimum temperature likely between 20–23°C. Official JMA observations and model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show the daily low settling near 21–22°C after highs reached 29–31°C earlier, consistent with the market’s tight clustering on 22°C (43.5%) and 23°C (41.0%). Historical September minima average near 21°C, but the current moisture-laden airmass and wind patterns favor slightly higher values than recent drier days. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor model spread in overnight cooling rates, with resolution hinging on the final JMA 24-hour minimum reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日東京最低溫度？
9月9日東京最低溫度？
21°C 30%
20°C 15%
24°C 5.3%
19°C或以下 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
27%
22°C
41%
23°C
41%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
21°C 30%
20°C 15%
24°C 5.3%
19°C或以下 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
19°C或以下
$104 交易量
4%
20°C
$648 交易量
11%
21°C
$1,072 交易量
27%
22°C
$482 交易量
41%
23°C
$1,204 交易量
41%
24°C
$316 交易量
5%
25°C
$123 交易量
3%
26°C
$283 交易量
1%
27°C
$588 交易量
1%
28°C
$101 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$181 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent stormy conditions with heavy rain, thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds have cooled Tokyo overnight, limiting radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and producing a minimum temperature likely between 20–23°C. Official JMA observations and model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show the daily low settling near 21–22°C after highs reached 29–31°C earlier, consistent with the market’s tight clustering on 22°C (43.5%) and 23°C (41.0%). Historical September minima average near 21°C, but the current moisture-laden airmass and wind patterns favor slightly higher values than recent drier days. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor model spread in overnight cooling rates, with resolution hinging on the final JMA 24-hour minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,102結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent stormy conditions with heavy rain, thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds have cooled Tokyo overnight, limiting radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and producing a minimum temperature likely between 20–23°C. Official JMA observations and model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show the daily low settling near 21–22°C after highs reached 29–31°C earlier, consistent with the market’s tight clustering on 22°C (43.5%) and 23°C (41.0%). Historical September minima average near 21°C, but the current moisture-laden airmass and wind patterns favor slightly higher values than recent drier days. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor model spread in overnight cooling rates, with resolution hinging on the final JMA 24-hour minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,102結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent stormy conditions with heavy rain, thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds have cooled Tokyo overnight, limiting radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and producing a minimum temperature likely between 20–23°C. Official JMA observations and model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show the daily low settling near 21–22°C after highs reached 29–31°C earlier, consistent with the market’s tight clustering on 22°C (43.5%) and 23°C (41.0%). Historical September minima average near 21°C, but the current moisture-laden airmass and wind patterns favor slightly higher values than recent drier days. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor model spread in overnight cooling rates, with resolution hinging on the final JMA 24-hour minimum reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions