**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日東京最低溫度？
9月10日東京最低溫度？
19°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,761 交易量
$11,761 交易量
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
19°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,761 交易量
$11,761 交易量
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
$94 交易量
否
15°C
$732 交易量
否
16°C
$2,598 交易量
否
17°C
$690 交易量
否
18°C
$975 交易量
否
19°C
$2,269 交易量
是
20°C
$2,424 交易量
否
21°C
$1,098 交易量
否
22°C
$316 交易量
否
23°C
$323 交易量
否
24°C或以上
$241 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$11,761結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,761結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions