Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle near 17–18°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly to northwesterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and dew points near 20°C that reduce radiative cooling rates. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.3°C but reflects warmer-than-normal conditions from recent haze and humidity. Trader consensus at 51% for 17°C or 18°C versus 49% for lower thresholds highlights model uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat effects at official stations like Pearson Airport. With 19°C or higher at just 8% implied probability, significant warming overnight appears unlikely absent unexpected clear skies or stalled fronts. Updated observations through evening will refine resolution criteria based on the daily minimum recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日多倫多氣溫最低？
9月13日多倫多氣溫最低？
9°C或以下 98%
10°C 98%
11°C 98%
12°C 98%
$100 交易量
$100 交易量
2026-09-13
9°C或以下
98%
10°C
98%
11°C
98%
12°C
98%
13°C
98%
14°C
98%
15°C
98%
16°C
92%
17°C
51%
18°C
51%
19°C或以上
8%
9°C或以下 98%
10°C 98%
11°C 98%
12°C 98%
$100 交易量
$100 交易量
2026-09-13
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
98%
10°C
$0 交易量
98%
11°C
$0 交易量
98%
12°C
$0 交易量
98%
13°C
$0 交易量
98%
14°C
$0 交易量
98%
15°C
$15 交易量
98%
16°C
$62 交易量
92%
17°C
$12 交易量
51%
18°C
$5 交易量
51%
19°C或以上
$5 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle near 17–18°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly to northwesterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and dew points near 20°C that reduce radiative cooling rates. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.3°C but reflects warmer-than-normal conditions from recent haze and humidity. Trader consensus at 51% for 17°C or 18°C versus 49% for lower thresholds highlights model uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat effects at official stations like Pearson Airport. With 19°C or higher at just 8% implied probability, significant warming overnight appears unlikely absent unexpected clear skies or stalled fronts. Updated observations through evening will refine resolution criteria based on the daily minimum recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$100結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle near 17–18°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly to northwesterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and dew points near 20°C that reduce radiative cooling rates. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.3°C but reflects warmer-than-normal conditions from recent haze and humidity. Trader consensus at 51% for 17°C or 18°C versus 49% for lower thresholds highlights model uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat effects at official stations like Pearson Airport. With 19°C or higher at just 8% implied probability, significant warming overnight appears unlikely absent unexpected clear skies or stalled fronts. Updated observations through evening will refine resolution criteria based on the daily minimum recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$100結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle near 17–18°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly to northwesterly winds around 10–15 km/h, and dew points near 20°C that reduce radiative cooling rates. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.3°C but reflects warmer-than-normal conditions from recent haze and humidity. Trader consensus at 51% for 17°C or 18°C versus 49% for lower thresholds highlights model uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat effects at official stations like Pearson Airport. With 19°C or higher at just 8% implied probability, significant warming overnight appears unlikely absent unexpected clear skies or stalled fronts. Updated observations through evening will refine resolution criteria based on the daily minimum recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions