Recent MetService and international model consensus points to overnight lows of 7–9°C for Wellington on September 14 under northerly flows, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit strong radiational cooling. Traders appear to price in elevated uncertainty from spring variability and the intensifying El Niño, which favors greater temperature swings and periodic cooler southerly intrusions despite the overall warm seasonal signal. Historical September minima near 9°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum observations. Fresh model runs and MetService updates over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月14日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
4°C或以下 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
4°C或以下
98%
5°C
18%
6°C
22%
7°C
28%
8°C
24%
9°C
24%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C或以上
<1%
4°C或以下 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
4°C或以下
$0 交易量
98%
5°C
$0 交易量
18%
6°C
$24 交易量
22%
7°C
$10 交易量
28%
8°C
$5 交易量
24%
9°C
$5 交易量
24%
10°C
$385 交易量
<1%
11°C
$5 交易量
<1%
12°C
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C或以上
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model consensus points to overnight lows of 7–9°C for Wellington on September 14 under northerly flows, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit strong radiational cooling. Traders appear to price in elevated uncertainty from spring variability and the intensifying El Niño, which favors greater temperature swings and periodic cooler southerly intrusions despite the overall warm seasonal signal. Historical September minima near 9°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum observations. Fresh model runs and MetService updates over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$544結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model consensus points to overnight lows of 7–9°C for Wellington on September 14 under northerly flows, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit strong radiational cooling. Traders appear to price in elevated uncertainty from spring variability and the intensifying El Niño, which favors greater temperature swings and periodic cooler southerly intrusions despite the overall warm seasonal signal. Historical September minima near 9°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum observations. Fresh model runs and MetService updates over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$544結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent MetService and international model consensus points to overnight lows of 7–9°C for Wellington on September 14 under northerly flows, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit strong radiational cooling. Traders appear to price in elevated uncertainty from spring variability and the intensifying El Niño, which favors greater temperature swings and periodic cooler southerly intrusions despite the overall warm seasonal signal. Historical September minima near 9°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum observations. Fresh model runs and MetService updates over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions