Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日鄭州最低氣溫？
8月24日鄭州最低氣溫？
25°C或以上 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$5,493 交易量
$5,493 交易量
2026-08-24
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
是
25°C或以上 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$5,493 交易量
$5,493 交易量
2026-08-24
15°C或以下
$110 交易量
否
16°C
$110 交易量
否
17°C
$555 交易量
否
18°C
$610 交易量
否
19°C
$481 交易量
否
20°C
$610 交易量
否
21°C
$120 交易量
否
22°C
$260 交易量
否
23°C
$935 交易量
否
24°C
$668 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$1,036 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$5,493結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,493結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions