Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 4th congressional district race, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s D+11 partisan voting index, consistent Democratic dominance in statewide voting patterns, and the absence of a viable Republican challenger in the general election. The district encompasses suburban and urban areas including Newton and Fall River, where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have produced double-digit margins in recent cycles. Auchincloss faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while the Republican nominee remains a low-profile presumptive candidate. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen Democratic primary upset, a national political realignment producing unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments such as health or ethics issues affecting the incumbent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$46,864 交易量
$46,864 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
96%
共和黨
2%
$46,864 交易量
$46,864 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$23,264 交易量
96%
共和黨
$23,600 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 4th congressional district race, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s D+11 partisan voting index, consistent Democratic dominance in statewide voting patterns, and the absence of a viable Republican challenger in the general election. The district encompasses suburban and urban areas including Newton and Fall River, where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have produced double-digit margins in recent cycles. Auchincloss faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while the Republican nominee remains a low-profile presumptive candidate. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen Democratic primary upset, a national political realignment producing unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments such as health or ethics issues affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$46,864結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 4th congressional district race, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s D+11 partisan voting index, consistent Democratic dominance in statewide voting patterns, and the absence of a viable Republican challenger in the general election. The district encompasses suburban and urban areas including Newton and Fall River, where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have produced double-digit margins in recent cycles. Auchincloss faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while the Republican nominee remains a low-profile presumptive candidate. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen Democratic primary upset, a national political realignment producing unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments such as health or ethics issues affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,864結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 4th congressional district race, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s D+11 partisan voting index, consistent Democratic dominance in statewide voting patterns, and the absence of a viable Republican challenger in the general election. The district encompasses suburban and urban areas including Newton and Fall River, where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have produced double-digit margins in recent cycles. Auchincloss faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest, while the Republican nominee remains a low-profile presumptive candidate. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen Democratic primary upset, a national political realignment producing unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments such as health or ethics issues affecting the incumbent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions