Skip to main content
icon for 皮奧伊州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

皮奧伊州州長選舉贏家

icon for 皮奧伊州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

皮奧伊州州長選舉贏家

拉斐爾·豐特萊斯 79%

吉斯瓦爾多教授 8%

聖地亞哥·貝利扎里奧 8%

Joel Rodrigues 7.3%

Polymarket
最新

拉斐爾·豐特萊斯 79%

吉斯瓦爾多教授 8%

聖地亞哥·貝利扎里奧 8%

Joel Rodrigues 7.3%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 拉斐爾·豐特萊斯

拉斐爾·豐特萊斯

$512 交易量

79%

icon for 吉斯瓦爾多教授

吉斯瓦爾多教授

$81 交易量

8%

icon for 聖地亞哥·貝利扎里奧

聖地亞哥·貝利扎里奧

$81 交易量

8%

icon for Joel Rodrigues

Joel Rodrigues

$81 交易量

7%

icon for Dra. Lúcia Santos

Dra. Lúcia Santos

$81 交易量

7%

icon for 朱里蒂教授

朱里蒂教授

$81 交易量

7%

icon for Elizeu Aguiar

Elizeu Aguiar

$81 交易量

7%

icon for 古斯塔沃·費若

古斯塔沃·費若

$81 交易量

7%

icon for Geraldo Carvalho

Geraldo Carvalho

$81 交易量

7%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$81 交易量

7%

icon for 盧爾德絲·梅洛

盧爾德絲·梅洛

$81 交易量

6%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds an 81% implied probability in the Polymarket market due to consistent polling leads of over 40 points in first-round scenarios. Recent July 2026 surveys, including AtlasIntel data showing him at 64% of valid votes versus Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 22%, reflect his strong position ahead of the October 4 election. Other listed contenders such as Geraldo Carvalho, Lourdes Melo, Ravenna da Inclusão, and Elizeu Aguiar register single-digit or low-double-digit support, limiting their viability in trader assessments. The wide gap stems from Fonteles' incumbency, established voter base, and absence of major recent shifts in alliances or polling trends that could narrow the contest before voting begins.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,319
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds an 81% implied probability in the Polymarket market due to consistent polling leads of over 40 points in first-round scenarios. Recent July 2026 surveys, including AtlasIntel data showing him at 64% of valid votes versus Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 22%, reflect his strong position ahead of the October 4 election. Other listed contenders such as Geraldo Carvalho, Lourdes Melo, Ravenna da Inclusão, and Elizeu Aguiar register single-digit or low-double-digit support, limiting their viability in trader assessments. The wide gap stems from Fonteles' incumbency, established voter base, and absence of major recent shifts in alliances or polling trends that could narrow the contest before voting begins.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,319
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

相關

icon for Lucas Ribeiro會贏得帕拉伊巴州州長選舉嗎？

Lucas Ribeiro會贏得帕拉伊巴州州長選舉嗎？

74%
是
icon for 塞爾吉奧·莫羅會贏得巴拉那州州長選舉嗎？

塞爾吉奧·莫羅會贏得巴拉那州州長選舉嗎？

87%
是
icon for 塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯會贏得2026年聖保羅州長選舉嗎？

塔爾西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯會贏得2026年聖保羅州長選舉嗎？

97%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"皮奧伊州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "拉斐爾·豐特萊斯" at 79%, followed by "吉斯瓦爾多教授" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"皮奧伊州州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "皮奧伊州州長選舉贏家," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "皮奧伊州州長選舉贏家" is "拉斐爾·豐特萊斯" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "吉斯瓦爾多教授" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "皮奧伊州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.