Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature enacted mid-decade redistricting on May 7, 2026—signed by Gov. Bill Lee—reconfiguring the 9th Congressional District to stretch from south Memphis across 10 rural southern counties, yielding a Republican partisan lean where Donald Trump won nearly 60% in 2024. This shift from the prior Democratic stronghold drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 81.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. State Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner recently announced GOP primary bids, while incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen faces a contested Democratic primary against Justin Pearson and others on August 6. Democratic federal lawsuits challenge the map, but qualifying ends May 15 with no polling yet; odds reflect the new district's electoral math despite analyst discrepancies like Cook's early Solid Democratic rating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$25,205 交易量
$25,205 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
82%
民主黨
15%
$25,205 交易量
$25,205 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$13,038 交易量
82%
民主黨
$12,167 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature enacted mid-decade redistricting on May 7, 2026—signed by Gov. Bill Lee—reconfiguring the 9th Congressional District to stretch from south Memphis across 10 rural southern counties, yielding a Republican partisan lean where Donald Trump won nearly 60% in 2024. This shift from the prior Democratic stronghold drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 81.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. State Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner recently announced GOP primary bids, while incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen faces a contested Democratic primary against Justin Pearson and others on August 6. Democratic federal lawsuits challenge the map, but qualifying ends May 15 with no polling yet; odds reflect the new district's electoral math despite analyst discrepancies like Cook's early Solid Democratic rating.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$25,205結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature enacted mid-decade redistricting on May 7, 2026—signed by Gov. Bill Lee—reconfiguring the 9th Congressional District to stretch from south Memphis across 10 rural southern counties, yielding a Republican partisan lean where Donald Trump won nearly 60% in 2024. This shift from the prior Democratic stronghold drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 81.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. State Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner recently announced GOP primary bids, while incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen faces a contested Democratic primary against Justin Pearson and others on August 6. Democratic federal lawsuits challenge the map, but qualifying ends May 15 with no polling yet; odds reflect the new district's electoral math despite analyst discrepancies like Cook's early Solid Democratic rating.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,205結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature enacted mid-decade redistricting on May 7, 2026—signed by Gov. Bill Lee—reconfiguring the 9th Congressional District to stretch from south Memphis across 10 rural southern counties, yielding a Republican partisan lean where Donald Trump won nearly 60% in 2024. This shift from the prior Democratic stronghold drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 81.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. State Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner recently announced GOP primary bids, while incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen faces a contested Democratic primary against Justin Pearson and others on August 6. Democratic federal lawsuits challenge the map, but qualifying ends May 15 with no polling yet; odds reflect the new district's electoral math despite analyst discrepancies like Cook's early Solid Democratic rating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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