The elevated trader consensus favoring continuation through 2027 reflects the high constitutional thresholds for presidential removal, including House impeachment and Senate conviction by a two-thirds majority that historically occurs only under extraordinary bipartisan conditions. As of mid-2026, no active impeachment proceedings, health announcements, or resignation signals have emerged from the executive branch to alter this baseline. Recent legislative and judicial developments continue to support institutional stability, with polling and public statements indicating sustained support within the president's party. Scenarios such as sudden incapacity or major unforeseen scandals could still shift odds, yet current evidence points to low near-term disruption.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$8,522,546 交易量
$8,522,546 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$8,522,546 交易量
$8,522,546 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The elevated trader consensus favoring continuation through 2027 reflects the high constitutional thresholds for presidential removal, including House impeachment and Senate conviction by a two-thirds majority that historically occurs only under extraordinary bipartisan conditions. As of mid-2026, no active impeachment proceedings, health announcements, or resignation signals have emerged from the executive branch to alter this baseline. Recent legislative and judicial developments continue to support institutional stability, with polling and public statements indicating sustained support within the president's party. Scenarios such as sudden incapacity or major unforeseen scandals could still shift odds, yet current evidence points to low near-term disruption.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
交易量
$8,522,546結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The elevated trader consensus favoring continuation through 2027 reflects the high constitutional thresholds for presidential removal, including House impeachment and Senate conviction by a two-thirds majority that historically occurs only under extraordinary bipartisan conditions. As of mid-2026, no active impeachment proceedings, health announcements, or resignation signals have emerged from the executive branch to alter this baseline. Recent legislative and judicial developments continue to support institutional stability, with polling and public statements indicating sustained support within the president's party. Scenarios such as sudden incapacity or major unforeseen scandals could still shift odds, yet current evidence points to low near-term disruption.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$8,522,556結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The elevated trader consensus favoring continuation through 2027 reflects the high constitutional thresholds for presidential removal, including House impeachment and Senate conviction by a two-thirds majority that historically occurs only under extraordinary bipartisan conditions. As of mid-2026, no active impeachment proceedings, health announcements, or resignation signals have emerged from the executive branch to alter this baseline. Recent legislative and judicial developments continue to support institutional stability, with polling and public statements indicating sustained support within the president's party. Scenarios such as sudden incapacity or major unforeseen scandals could still shift odds, yet current evidence points to low near-term disruption.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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