Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic 100.0%
Moonshot <1%
亞馬遜 <1%
Mistral <1%
$2,002,923 交易量
$2,002,923 交易量
2026-04-30
Moonshot
否
亞馬遜
否
Mistral
否
微軟
否
Anthropic
是
字節跳動
否
Z.ai
否
美團
否
否
阿里巴巴
否
百度
否
Meta
否
OpenAI
否
xAI
否
DeepSeek
否
Anthropic 100.0%
Moonshot <1%
亞馬遜 <1%
Mistral <1%
$2,002,923 交易量
$2,002,923 交易量
2026-04-30
Moonshot
$140,153 交易量
否
亞馬遜
$80,848 交易量
否
Mistral
$118,134 交易量
否
微軟
$34,730 交易量
否
Anthropic
$170,120 交易量
是
字節跳動
$45,324 交易量
否
Z.ai
$86,407 交易量
否
美團
$61,138 交易量
否
$221,932 交易量
否
阿里巴巴
$90,867 交易量
否
百度
$129,060 交易量
否
Meta
$39,510 交易量
否
OpenAI
$235,032 交易量
否
xAI
$226,933 交易量
否
DeepSeek
$322,734 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市場開放時間： Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
交易量
$2,002,923結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$2,002,923結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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