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icon for 下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？
政治·中東

下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？

icon for 下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？
政治·中東

下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？

班傑明·納坦雅胡 40%

納夫塔利·貝內特 39%

加迪·艾森科特 11.3%

阿維格多·利伯曼 3.5%

Polymarket

$9,467,466 交易量

班傑明·納坦雅胡 40%

納夫塔利·貝內特 39%

加迪·艾森科特 11.3%

阿維格多·利伯曼 3.5%

Polymarket

$9,467,466 交易量

班傑明·納坦雅胡

$751,997 交易量

40%

納夫塔利·貝內特

$1,408,559 交易量

39%

加迪·艾森科特

$749,605 交易量

11%

阿維格多·利伯曼

$658,612 交易量

3%

亞伊爾·拉皮德

$514,042 交易量

1%

以色列·卡茨

$163,778 交易量

1%

伊塔瑪·本·格維爾

$339,841 交易量

<1%

艾耶萊特·沙凱德

$547,631 交易量

<1%

阿米爾·奧哈納

$340,393 交易量

<1%

班尼·甘茨

$349,074 交易量

<1%

約西·科恩

$614,863 交易量

<1%

亞里夫·萊文

$467,081 交易量

<1%

亞伊爾·戈蘭

$485,938 交易量

<1%

吉迪恩·萨尔

$726,229 交易量

<1%

摩謝·費格林

$520,309 交易量

<1%

約阿茲·亨德爾

$541,317 交易量

<1%

尼爾·巴卡特

$288,252 交易量

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The formation of the Together alliance between Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid in late April has tightened the contest for Israel's next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election. Recent polls show the new center-right bloc narrowly ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud in projected seats, reflecting voter fatigue with the current coalition and ongoing security and judicial challenges. This merger, which positions Bennett as the likely prime ministerial candidate, has consolidated opposition support while leaving room for further realignments, such as potential involvement from Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party. Traders see the race as highly fluid because Israeli coalition arithmetic often hinges on small parties and last-minute negotiations, with no bloc yet assured of a majority.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,467,466
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The formation of the Together alliance between Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid in late April has tightened the contest for Israel's next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election. Recent polls show the new center-right bloc narrowly ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud in projected seats, reflecting voter fatigue with the current coalition and ongoing security and judicial challenges. This merger, which positions Bennett as the likely prime ministerial candidate, has consolidated opposition support while leaving room for further realignments, such as potential involvement from Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party. Traders see the race as highly fluid because Israeli coalition arithmetic often hinges on small parties and last-minute negotiations, with no bloc yet assured of a majority.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,467,466
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "班傑明·納坦雅胡" at 40%, followed by "納夫塔利·貝內特" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" has generated $9.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" is "班傑明·納坦雅胡" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "納夫塔利·貝內特" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.