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icon for 下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？
政治·中東

下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？

icon for 下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？
政治·中東

下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？

班傑明·納坦雅胡 40%

納夫塔利·貝內特 39%

加迪·艾森科特 12.3%

阿維格多·利伯曼 3.4%

Polymarket

$9,284,240 交易量

班傑明·納坦雅胡 40%

納夫塔利·貝內特 39%

加迪·艾森科特 12.3%

阿維格多·利伯曼 3.4%

Polymarket

$9,284,240 交易量

班傑明·納坦雅胡

$751,918 交易量

40%

納夫塔利·貝內特

$1,244,013 交易量

39%

加迪·艾森科特

$748,715 交易量

12%

阿維格多·利伯曼

$658,071 交易量

3%

亞伊爾·拉皮德

$514,032 交易量

1%

伊塔瑪·本·格維爾

$339,825 交易量

1%

以色列·卡茨

$163,670 交易量

1%

艾耶萊特·沙凱德

$542,195 交易量

<1%

阿米爾·奧哈納

$339,944 交易量

<1%

班尼·甘茨

$349,065 交易量

<1%

約西·科恩

$613,881 交易量

<1%

亞里夫·萊文

$467,076 交易量

<1%

亞伊爾·戈蘭

$485,568 交易量

<1%

吉迪恩·萨尔

$725,917 交易量

<1%

摩謝·費格林

$518,649 交易量

<1%

約阿茲·亨德爾

$536,255 交易量

<1%

尼爾·巴卡特

$287,326 交易量

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling and the April 2026 formation of the Bennett-Lapid “Together” alliance have kept trader consensus tightly balanced between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett for the post-October 2026 election premiership. Netanyahu’s Likud retains a narrow lead in most seat projections and benefits from incumbency plus established right-wing partners, yet the unified opposition slate projects 60 seats against his bloc’s 50, narrowing his path to a majority. Gadi Eizenkot’s possible addition to Together adds further centrist support and explains his 12 percent share. Coalition arithmetic after the vote, security developments, and any late shifts in voter turnout or smaller-party alignments remain the main variables that could widen the gap between the two frontrunners.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,284,240
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling and the April 2026 formation of the Bennett-Lapid “Together” alliance have kept trader consensus tightly balanced between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett for the post-October 2026 election premiership. Netanyahu’s Likud retains a narrow lead in most seat projections and benefits from incumbency plus established right-wing partners, yet the unified opposition slate projects 60 seats against his bloc’s 50, narrowing his path to a majority. Gadi Eizenkot’s possible addition to Together adds further centrist support and explains his 12 percent share. Coalition arithmetic after the vote, security developments, and any late shifts in voter turnout or smaller-party alignments remain the main variables that could widen the gap between the two frontrunners.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,284,240
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "班傑明·納坦雅胡" at 40%, followed by "納夫塔利·貝內特" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" has generated $9.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" is "班傑明·納坦雅胡" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "納夫塔利·貝內特" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.