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icon for Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
选举·Vote Share

Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
选举·Vote Share

Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

40-45% 99.4%

45%+ <1%

20-25% <1%

<20% <1%

Polymarket

$13,409 交易量

40-45% 99.4%

45%+ <1%

20-25% <1%

<20% <1%

Polymarket

$13,409 交易量

<20%

$973 交易量

<1%

20-25%

$1,653 交易量

<1%

25-30%

$1,781 交易量

<1%

30-35%

$1,237 交易量

<1%

35-40%

$1,769 交易量

<1%

40-45%

$2,940 交易量

99%

45%+

$3,056 交易量

1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.7% of the vote in Colombia's May 31, 2026, presidential first round, placing his result squarely in the 40-45% band that dominates trader pricing. As a right-wing outsider and criminal attorney with no prior elected office, he built support through emphasis on security, crime crackdowns, and free-market policies, outperforming pre-election polls that had favored leftist rival Iván Cepeda. Consolidated support from center-right factions after their candidates fell short further consolidated his share. Final certification and any narrow recount disputes represent the primary remaining variables that could adjust the precise tally within or adjacent to the leading interval.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
交易量
$13,409
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.7% of the vote in Colombia's May 31, 2026, presidential first round, placing his result squarely in the 40-45% band that dominates trader pricing. As a right-wing outsider and criminal attorney with no prior elected office, he built support through emphasis on security, crime crackdowns, and free-market policies, outperforming pre-election polls that had favored leftist rival Iván Cepeda. Consolidated support from center-right factions after their candidates fell short further consolidated his share. Final certification and any narrow recount disputes represent the primary remaining variables that could adjust the precise tally within or adjacent to the leading interval.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
交易量
$13,409
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"40-45%"，概率为 99%，其次是"45%+"，概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?"已产生 $13.4K 的总交易量（自May 28, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?"的当前领先者是"40-45%"，概率为 99%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"45%+"，概率为 1%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。