Civil Contract maintains its commanding lead in the upcoming June 7 parliamentary elections because recent voter surveys show the incumbent party holding a plurality of committed support while opposition forces remain fragmented and below key thresholds. The campaign period, which opened on May 8, has highlighted the ruling party's organizational edge and the electorate's preference for continuity in foreign policy amid ongoing regional tensions. Traders assign it a 91.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, consistent with polling trends that project vote shares between 40 and 51 percent once undecided respondents are allocated. Challenges could still emerge if opposition blocs consolidate around a single challenger or if turnout surges among disillusioned voters focused on post-Karabakh security and economic issues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于公民契约党 92%
强大亚美尼亚 5.8%
亚美尼亚联盟 1.5%
亚美尼亚全国大会 <1%
$206,278 交易量
$206,278 交易量
2026-06-07
公民契约党
92%
强大亚美尼亚
6%
亚美尼亚联盟
1%
亚美尼亚全国大会
1%
繁荣亚美尼亚党
<1%
光明亚美尼亚党
<1%
我有荣耀联盟
<1%
Hanrapetutyun党
<1%
传统党
<1%
奥里纳茨·耶尔基尔
<1%
公民契约党 92%
强大亚美尼亚 5.8%
亚美尼亚联盟 1.5%
亚美尼亚全国大会 <1%
$206,278 交易量
$206,278 交易量
2026-06-07
公民契约党
$63,992 交易量
92%
强大亚美尼亚
$10,611 交易量
6%
亚美尼亚联盟
$59,208 交易量
1%
亚美尼亚全国大会
$13,647 交易量
1%
繁荣亚美尼亚党
$15,231 交易量
<1%
光明亚美尼亚党
$8,256 交易量
<1%
我有荣耀联盟
$7,849 交易量
<1%
Hanrapetutyun党
$8,382 交易量
<1%
传统党
$8,752 交易量
<1%
奥里纳茨·耶尔基尔
$10,350 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract maintains its commanding lead in the upcoming June 7 parliamentary elections because recent voter surveys show the incumbent party holding a plurality of committed support while opposition forces remain fragmented and below key thresholds. The campaign period, which opened on May 8, has highlighted the ruling party's organizational edge and the electorate's preference for continuity in foreign policy amid ongoing regional tensions. Traders assign it a 91.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, consistent with polling trends that project vote shares between 40 and 51 percent once undecided respondents are allocated. Challenges could still emerge if opposition blocs consolidate around a single challenger or if turnout surges among disillusioned voters focused on post-Karabakh security and economic issues.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
市场开放时间： Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
交易量
$206,278结束日期
2026-06-07市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract maintains its commanding lead in the upcoming June 7 parliamentary elections because recent voter surveys show the incumbent party holding a plurality of committed support while opposition forces remain fragmented and below key thresholds. The campaign period, which opened on May 8, has highlighted the ruling party's organizational edge and the electorate's preference for continuity in foreign policy amid ongoing regional tensions. Traders assign it a 91.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, consistent with polling trends that project vote shares between 40 and 51 percent once undecided respondents are allocated. Challenges could still emerge if opposition blocs consolidate around a single challenger or if turnout surges among disillusioned voters focused on post-Karabakh security and economic issues.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
交易量
$206,278结束日期
2026-06-07市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract maintains its commanding lead in the upcoming June 7 parliamentary elections because recent voter surveys show the incumbent party holding a plurality of committed support while opposition forces remain fragmented and below key thresholds. The campaign period, which opened on May 8, has highlighted the ruling party's organizational edge and the electorate's preference for continuity in foreign policy amid ongoing regional tensions. Traders assign it a 91.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, consistent with polling trends that project vote shares between 40 and 51 percent once undecided respondents are allocated. Challenges could still emerge if opposition blocs consolidate around a single challenger or if turnout surges among disillusioned voters focused on post-Karabakh security and economic issues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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