Recent polling consistently places leftist candidate Iván Cepeda ahead for first place while positioning far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella as the clear frontrunner for second in the May 31 first round. De la Espriella’s outsider appeal, modeled on hardline security policies akin to those in El Salvador and Argentina, has consolidated right-wing support outside traditional party structures. Center-right senator Paloma Valencia strengthened her coalition standing after winning open primaries in March alongside legislative voting, yet trails in head-to-head measures for the runoff spot. Campaign violence, including the recent killings of two staffers for de la Espriella, underscores security concerns that continue to shape voter priorities without shifting the established ordering. These dynamics reflect trader consensus on the most likely top-two finishers ahead of the runoff threshold on June 21.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Abelardo de la Espriella 73%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 11.1%
Claudia López <1%
$90,807 交易量
$90,807 交易量
Abelardo de la Espriella
73%
Paloma Valencia
18%
Iván Cepeda Castro
11%
Claudia López
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 73%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 11.1%
Claudia López <1%
$90,807 交易量
$90,807 交易量
Abelardo de la Espriella
73%
Paloma Valencia
18%
Iván Cepeda Castro
11%
Claudia López
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places leftist candidate Iván Cepeda ahead for first place while positioning far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella as the clear frontrunner for second in the May 31 first round. De la Espriella’s outsider appeal, modeled on hardline security policies akin to those in El Salvador and Argentina, has consolidated right-wing support outside traditional party structures. Center-right senator Paloma Valencia strengthened her coalition standing after winning open primaries in March alongside legislative voting, yet trails in head-to-head measures for the runoff spot. Campaign violence, including the recent killings of two staffers for de la Espriella, underscores security concerns that continue to shape voter priorities without shifting the established ordering. These dynamics reflect trader consensus on the most likely top-two finishers ahead of the runoff threshold on June 21.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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