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icon for 哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名
政治·全球选举

哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名

icon for 哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名
政治·全球选举

哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,132 交易量

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,132 交易量

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$9,545 交易量

71%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$13,316 交易量

18%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$9,665 交易量

11%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$5,017 交易量

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$4,707 交易量

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$4,254 交易量

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$4,093 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$3,492 交易量

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$4,904 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$3,584 交易量

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$3,550 交易量

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$4,471 交易量

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$3,585 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$4,127 交易量

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$4,086 交易量

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$4,205 交易量

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$3,532 交易量

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages position right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella as the primary challenger to left-wing frontrunner Iván Cepeda in Colombia’s May 31 first round, where a runoff follows if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. De la Espriella’s emphasis on military-led security measures and anti-establishment appeals has consolidated conservative support ahead of the vote, while Paloma Valencia’s strong March primary performance for the Democratic Centre has not yet translated into comparable general-election momentum. Cepeda maintains a narrow lead in most surveys through continuity with the current administration’s agenda, but trader consensus on second place reflects the right’s unified path and limited room for other contenders like Sergio Fajardo or Claudia López to surge before election day.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$90,132
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages position right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella as the primary challenger to left-wing frontrunner Iván Cepeda in Colombia’s May 31 first round, where a runoff follows if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. De la Espriella’s emphasis on military-led security measures and anti-establishment appeals has consolidated conservative support ahead of the vote, while Paloma Valencia’s strong March primary performance for the Democratic Centre has not yet translated into comparable general-election momentum. Cepeda maintains a narrow lead in most surveys through continuity with the current administration’s agenda, but trader consensus on second place reflects the right’s unified path and limited room for other contenders like Sergio Fajardo or Claudia López to surge before election day.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$90,132
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Abelardo de la Espriella"，概率为 71%，其次是"Paloma Valencia"，概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 71¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 71%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名"已产生 $90.1K 的总交易量（自Apr 21, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名"的当前领先者是"Abelardo de la Espriella"，概率为 71%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 71%。紧随其后的结果是"Paloma Valencia"，概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哥伦比亚总统选举第一轮：第二名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。