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icon for 是否在5月15日之前在美国确诊了汉坦病毒病例?

是否在5月15日之前在美国确诊了汉坦病毒病例?

icon for 是否在5月15日之前在美国确诊了汉坦病毒病例?

是否在5月15日之前在美国确诊了汉坦病毒病例?

>99% 概率
Polymarket

$1,295,666 交易量

>99% 概率
Polymarket

$1,295,666 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a laboratory-verified Sin Nombre virus infection, the predominant hantavirus strain causing pulmonary syndrome in the western United States, in a Chelan County, Washington resident has driven the near-certain market consensus. This case, reported by the Chelan-Douglas Health District on or before the May 15 resolution date, aligns with established epidemiological patterns: the CDC records roughly 20–40 such U.S. cases annually, primarily linked to rodent exposure in rural western states. The unrelated Andes virus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship has produced no domestic confirmations as of May 14, reinforcing that the Washington diagnosis alone satisfies the market criteria. Ongoing surveillance through state health departments and the CDC continues to monitor exposures without altering this outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$1,295,666
结束日期
2026-05-15
市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a laboratory-verified Sin Nombre virus infection, the predominant hantavirus strain causing pulmonary syndrome in the western United States, in a Chelan County, Washington resident has driven the near-certain market consensus. This case, reported by the Chelan-Douglas Health District on or before the May 15 resolution date, aligns with established epidemiological patterns: the CDC records roughly 20–40 such U.S. cases annually, primarily linked to rodent exposure in rural western states. The unrelated Andes virus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship has produced no domestic confirmations as of May 14, reinforcing that the Washington diagnosis alone satisfies the market criteria. Ongoing surveillance through state health departments and the CDC continues to monitor exposures without altering this outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$1,295,666
结束日期
2026-05-15
市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"是否在5月15日之前在美国确诊了汉坦病毒病例?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"截至5月15日,美国已确诊汉坦病毒病例吗?",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"是否在5月15日之前在美国确诊了汉坦病毒病例?"已产生 $1.3 million 的总交易量(自May 7, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"是否在5月15日之前在美国确诊了汉坦病毒病例?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"是否在5月15日之前在美国确诊了汉坦病毒病例?"的当前领先者是"截至5月15日,美国已确诊汉坦病毒病例吗?",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"是否在5月15日之前在美国确诊了汉坦病毒病例?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。