Recent moderation in underlying inflation, with June 2026 core PCE YoY printing at 3.3% after May’s 3.4%, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to 3.29% for July, underpins the 67% market-implied odds on 3.3% and 34% on 3.2% ahead of the August 26 release. Persistent readings well above the Fed’s 2% target have kept the FOMC on hold at the 3.50-3.75% funds rate range following the July meeting, with three dissents favoring a hike, sustaining caution around monetary policy expectations. Forecaster consensus and recent CPI components showing contained monthly gains reinforce the narrow range around 3.2-3.3%, though any upside surprise could shift rate-path pricing ahead of the September FOMC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.3% 67%
3.2% 34%
3.4% <1%
3.1% <1%
$32,668 交易量
$32,668 交易量
2026-08-26
≤3.0%
<1%
3.1%
1%
3.2%
34%
3.3%
67%
3.4%
1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%+
<1%
3.3% 67%
3.2% 34%
3.4% <1%
3.1% <1%
$32,668 交易量
$32,668 交易量
2026-08-26
≤3.0%
$1,025 交易量
<1%
3.1%
$1,167 交易量
1%
3.2%
$9,842 交易量
34%
3.3%
$19,453 交易量
67%
3.4%
$1,023 交易量
1%
3.5%
$942 交易量
<1%
3.6%+
$1,163 交易量
<1%
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in underlying inflation, with June 2026 core PCE YoY printing at 3.3% after May’s 3.4%, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to 3.29% for July, underpins the 67% market-implied odds on 3.3% and 34% on 3.2% ahead of the August 26 release. Persistent readings well above the Fed’s 2% target have kept the FOMC on hold at the 3.50-3.75% funds rate range following the July meeting, with three dissents favoring a hike, sustaining caution around monetary policy expectations. Forecaster consensus and recent CPI components showing contained monthly gains reinforce the narrow range around 3.2-3.3%, though any upside surprise could shift rate-path pricing ahead of the September FOMC.
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
交易量
$32,668结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in underlying inflation, with June 2026 core PCE YoY printing at 3.3% after May’s 3.4%, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to 3.29% for July, underpins the 67% market-implied odds on 3.3% and 34% on 3.2% ahead of the August 26 release. Persistent readings well above the Fed’s 2% target have kept the FOMC on hold at the 3.50-3.75% funds rate range following the July meeting, with three dissents favoring a hike, sustaining caution around monetary policy expectations. Forecaster consensus and recent CPI components showing contained monthly gains reinforce the narrow range around 3.2-3.3%, though any upside surprise could shift rate-path pricing ahead of the September FOMC.
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$32,668结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in underlying inflation, with June 2026 core PCE YoY printing at 3.3% after May’s 3.4%, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to 3.29% for July, underpins the 67% market-implied odds on 3.3% and 34% on 3.2% ahead of the August 26 release. Persistent readings well above the Fed’s 2% target have kept the FOMC on hold at the 3.50-3.75% funds rate range following the July meeting, with three dissents favoring a hike, sustaining caution around monetary policy expectations. Forecaster consensus and recent CPI components showing contained monthly gains reinforce the narrow range around 3.2-3.3%, though any upside surprise could shift rate-path pricing ahead of the September FOMC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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