Traders see an 85.1% chance Databricks skips an IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any SEC filing, roadshow activity, or executive timeline that would signal readiness in the next six weeks. The enterprise data and AI platform has sustained multibillion-dollar private valuations through successive funding rounds, yet broader software-sector caution and lengthy listing processes have kept public-market entry off the near-term agenda. Thin odds across all valuation brackets underscore uncertainty over both timing and exit multiples, consistent with how similar infrastructure companies have historically extended private status to align with favorable conditions. Any fresh capital-raise update or conference appearance before the deadline could still alter the consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年6月30日前未上市 85.0%
2000–2500 亿 2.7%
1250–1500 亿 1.4%
2500亿以上 <1%
$404,032 交易量
$404,032 交易量
低于1000亿
<1%
1000–1250 亿
<1%
1250–1500 亿
1%
1500–1750亿美元
<1%
1750–2000亿美元
<1%
2000–2500 亿
3%
2500亿以上
1%
2026年6月30日前未上市
85%
2026年6月30日前未上市 85.0%
2000–2500 亿 2.7%
1250–1500 亿 1.4%
2500亿以上 <1%
$404,032 交易量
$404,032 交易量
低于1000亿
<1%
1000–1250 亿
<1%
1250–1500 亿
1%
1500–1750亿美元
<1%
1750–2000亿美元
<1%
2000–2500 亿
3%
2500亿以上
1%
2026年6月30日前未上市
85%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders see an 85.1% chance Databricks skips an IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any SEC filing, roadshow activity, or executive timeline that would signal readiness in the next six weeks. The enterprise data and AI platform has sustained multibillion-dollar private valuations through successive funding rounds, yet broader software-sector caution and lengthy listing processes have kept public-market entry off the near-term agenda. Thin odds across all valuation brackets underscore uncertainty over both timing and exit multiples, consistent with how similar infrastructure companies have historically extended private status to align with favorable conditions. Any fresh capital-raise update or conference appearance before the deadline could still alter the consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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