The 80.5% implied probability of no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026 stems primarily from the absence of a public S-1 filing or pricing date following the company's confidential SEC submission in January 2026. Despite retaining Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase as underwriters, preparations have not accelerated into the narrow window before the deadline, with traders pricing modest closing market caps below $15 billion at a combined 10.4% if an offering occurs. Recent revenue trends around $725 million annually and secondary-market valuations near $14.7 billion underscore cautious sentiment amid broader tech IPO selectivity. Key catalysts include any public filing disclosure or shifts in equity market conditions that could compress the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年6月30日前不上市 80%
低于150亿 6.6%
250–300亿美元 4.6%
150亿–200亿美元 4.1%
$893,019 交易量
$893,019 交易量
2026-06-30
低于150亿
7%
150亿–200亿美元
4%
200–250 亿
<1%
250–300亿美元
5%
300亿+
1%
2026年6月30日前不上市
80%
2026年6月30日前不上市 80%
低于150亿 6.6%
250–300亿美元 4.6%
150亿–200亿美元 4.1%
$893,019 交易量
$893,019 交易量
2026-06-30
低于150亿
$298,524 交易量
7%
150亿–200亿美元
$109,446 交易量
4%
200–250 亿
$74,413 交易量
<1%
250–300亿美元
$113,879 交易量
5%
300亿+
$102,343 交易量
1%
2026年6月30日前不上市
$194,415 交易量
80%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 80.5% implied probability of no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026 stems primarily from the absence of a public S-1 filing or pricing date following the company's confidential SEC submission in January 2026. Despite retaining Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase as underwriters, preparations have not accelerated into the narrow window before the deadline, with traders pricing modest closing market caps below $15 billion at a combined 10.4% if an offering occurs. Recent revenue trends around $725 million annually and secondary-market valuations near $14.7 billion underscore cautious sentiment amid broader tech IPO selectivity. Key catalysts include any public filing disclosure or shifts in equity market conditions that could compress the timeline.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$893,019结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 80.5% implied probability of no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026 stems primarily from the absence of a public S-1 filing or pricing date following the company's confidential SEC submission in January 2026. Despite retaining Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase as underwriters, preparations have not accelerated into the narrow window before the deadline, with traders pricing modest closing market caps below $15 billion at a combined 10.4% if an offering occurs. Recent revenue trends around $725 million annually and secondary-market valuations near $14.7 billion underscore cautious sentiment amid broader tech IPO selectivity. Key catalysts include any public filing disclosure or shifts in equity market conditions that could compress the timeline.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$893,019结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 80.5% implied probability of no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026 stems primarily from the absence of a public S-1 filing or pricing date following the company's confidential SEC submission in January 2026. Despite retaining Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase as underwriters, preparations have not accelerated into the narrow window before the deadline, with traders pricing modest closing market caps below $15 billion at a combined 10.4% if an offering occurs. Recent revenue trends around $725 million annually and secondary-market valuations near $14.7 billion underscore cautious sentiment amid broader tech IPO selectivity. Key catalysts include any public filing disclosure or shifts in equity market conditions that could compress the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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